Skilled immigration the key to Australia's economic growth - and property markets

By Ed Chan
Friday, 12 October 2012

The RBA cut rates by a further 25 basis points on Tuesday, October 2.

This should not have been a surprise, especially when one considers what is happening in Europe and the US and our own retail sectors, which would have to take a toll on public confidence. I would say it’s all about the rest of the world, and we needed a buffer to help us through the next few years of turmoil.

While there are encouraging signs from the US with a falling unemployment rate currently at 7.8% (first time in more than three years this has been below 8%), Europe's long-term outlook however is still bleak. I would anticipate 10 years of no growth in Europe.

The US will enter a long period of small to moderate growth as it tries to keep the economy growing (which keeps unemployment down) by the printing of money to the tune of $40 billion per month. On the other hand, the printing of money is similar to giving a drug addict heroin when what is really needed is a detox.

The USA and Europe have an ageing population and similar to Japan, which has had no growth for about 21 years, both Europe and to a lesser extent the US are compounded by record levels of debt.

China's growth has slowed to around 8% per year. As the world's baby boomers reach retirement, their spending naturally slows, which has affected demand for goods and services. China exports to the world, including the US, but the slowdown in demand from the baby boomers has affected China's economic growth. However, the demand for goods and services from their own burgeoning middle class as they become wealthier has kept the fires burning. Their desire to increase their urbanisation rate from 37.5% to those of Western nations will continue to feed the fire.

As stated above, an ageing population means spending slows, and when spending slows economic activity slows, which means higher unemployment and lower tax revenue. Japan has an extremely tight immigration policy, which means very few immigrants were allowed into the country, and the consequences to this is the older population were not being replaced by younger people.

Natural births to replace an ageing population have two disadvantages.

It generally takes 21 years of investing into a newborn before he or she is old enough to work, plus a further two years training on-the-job to attain a skill before he or she can start contributing.

This is slow and a highly costly process. Also, the number of children per household has dropped over the years. There is also no guarantee that job sectors that have skill shortages can be filled, because there is no guarantee that Australians will go into those areas even after they have attained the necessary skills, qualifications and experience.

Immigration, on the other hand, has many advantages for a young country such as ours.

It means one can select the skilled people required and only allow those who have those skills into the country in areas where we are experiencing a shortage, or restrict their entry conditions to areas that have a skill shortage. They are already trained and the training paid for by another country; they are immediately productive and can pay taxes; they also create an immediate demand for services such as homes, cars, schools, food and other services, creating economic growth and prosperity.

In Australia unlike Europe, Japan and even the US we have a robust and healthy immigration policy allowing in around 250,000 to 350,000 people annually. Our average age is 35; Europe’s is 45.

 





    Did you like this article? 

    Sign up to the Property Observer Newsletter to receive a daily news wrap-up straight to your inbox AND a free eBook!

    Please enter a valid email address. For example fred@domain.com .

    Related Topics:

    The best of everything at Portside Wharf

    Now Selling
    Premium apartments, terrace homes and penthouses. Luxury living in Hamilton’s most prized riverfront address, at the heart of the vibrant Portside Wharf precinct.
    Enjoy amazing views overlooking the city and river, as well as superb private facilities.
    Secure your piece of luxury riverfront living www.pinnacleportside.com.au

      The Mark at Sydney's Central Park

      Central Park is the $2 billion transformation of a heritage brewery site on Sydney's Broadway into a vibrant mixed-use urban village.

      Designed by architects Johnson Pilton Walker, 'The Mark' is a soaring glass tower of sustainability, advanced building technology and applied imagination - and your opportunity to capitalise on Central Park's success.
      Register your interest now at centralparksydney.com or call 1300 857 057. >>
        Previous
        Next
        Do your research before buying a property within a residential owners' corporation: Mark Armstrong Mark Armstrong
        Before you buy a property in a development with an owners' corporation, it’s essential to understand your potential financial liabilities and other responsibilities as a member.
        SEARCH SITE

        Suburb Data

        Free suburb snapshots for investors

        Powered by

        Property data for Western Australia Property data for Tasmania Property data for Queensland Property data for Northern Territory Property data for South Australia Property data for Victoria Property data for New South Wales Property data for Canberra

        Click on your state for local insight

        Follow us Property Observer on Twitter Property Observer on Facebook Property Observer on LinkedIn Subscribe to Property Observer RSS feeds
        RP Data-Rismark May 21 daily index
         

        Private Media Publications

        Crikey

        loading...

        Smart Company

        loading...

        StartupSmart

        loading...

        Leading Company

        loading...

        Womens Agenda

        loading...