What we know about the housing market in the wake of the RBA...

"For mine, this week’s drop in official rates will have very little impact on our economy. The banks are limited as to how much they can pass on."

What we know about the housing market in the wake of the RBA's cash rate cut

By Michael Matusik
Thursday, 04 October 2012

 

But what we need is a boost to our confidence.  A fall in interest rates won’t do it.  This week’s fall and even next month’s is already factored into our expectations.  It’s like having meat and three veg for dinner, the usual and so ho-hum.

Confidence, that’s what is missing and for the life of me, I don’t see it on the horizon and regardless of what direction I look.  I definitely don’t see in when I look south towards Canberra.  I was hoping to see it in George Street, but maybe my expectations were set too high.  I am not seeing it across the Pacific.  Heck, I cannot even watch a footy match these days without someone getting their ear nearly bitten off.

Without being sexist, Tom Waits has got it right – “there ain’t enough raised right men”.

We need to build something – another Snowy Mountains something.  Or really attempt to solve a major human suffering – and something tangible, like infant mortality or AIDS – and not the nebulous like “climate change”.  We need a plan and a leader to articulate and implement it.  Branson and co. need to step up.  No politician – well, not out of the current crop – is going to do it.  Ditto those mining magnates.

We need our own Springsteen.  Where’s Midnight Oil when you need them?  Come on, Pete – give up your day job!

But before I get higher on my high horse:

All the ingredients are there for another housing upturn – low rates; high yields (often now positive); a rising population growth rate; soft housing starts; very tight vacancy rates; higher rents and now rising end prices, and yet I will get more “spruiker” direct email replies from this post than “high fives”.

It’s a strange world we live in these days for sure.

Michael Matusik is the founder of Matusik Property Insights, which has helped over 550 new residential projects come to fruition.  Read Michael's blogor follow him on Twitter or connect via LinkedIn.




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