Tasmania even more affordable as sales volume shrinks

By Jonathan Chancellor
Thursday, 11 August 2011

Tasmania, Australia’s least expensive property market, has become even cheaper.

Its median house price fell 1.6% in the past year to $305,000, according to the Real Estate Institute of Tasmania. It was $330,000 in the March quarter.

At the same time the volume of house sales in Tasmania slumped 10.2% to turnover levels that haven’t been seen since the early 1990s.

Sales volume in Hobart was down by 5.6%, Launceston volumes by 5.2% and sales in the state’s northwest fell 13.4%.

The turnover data continues a trend evident in the 2010 June quarter, which reported a 20.8% reduction in house sales across Tasmania compared with the 2009 quarter volumes.

Sandy Bay was the most expensive suburb in the June quarter, with a $647,500 median, followed by Battery Point at $645,500. Sandy Bay’s median price in the 2010 was $655,000 and $599,000 in 2009.

Four other suburbs on the 10 most expensive suburbs in the state have recorded strong gains over the past two years, including Seven Mile Beach, up from $398,000 in the 2009 June quarter to $475,000; West Hobart up from $427,500 to $495,000; Sandford up from $426,000 to $497,500 and Mount Nelson up from $417,500 in 2009 to $615,000.

But two of the cheapest suburbs on the 10 cheapest locations recorded significant declines in median prices, with Ravenswood down from $190,000 in June 2009 to $142,500 and Gagebrook down from $160,250 to $150,000.

REIT president Adrian Kelly recently noted that with many overpriced properties on the market that “anyone currently selling a house in Tasmania needs to be willing to meet market prices or be ready for their house to sit on the market for up to a year or more".

The release of the data followed the recent new home lending figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics that showed the number of loans for the construction or purchase of a new dwelling fell by more than 12% in June.

Housing Industry Association executive director Stuart Clues says the figure is a warning that things are softening in the housing market.

"New home lending is a leading indicator of residential building activity, so unfortunately the current low number of loans reinforces HIA's view that dwelling starts will fall by at least 10 per cent in calendar year 2011," he says.

Master Builders Association Tasmania executive director Michael Kerschbaum notes that in recent years the supply of more than 3,000 houses each year coupled with a population growth of about 4,000 a year means the state is almost square.

Photo courtesy of Tourism Tasmania and Nick Osborne



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      Comments (4)Add Comment
      ...
      written by whatshortage, August 14, 2011
      "the supply of more than 3,000 houses each year coupled with a population growth of about 4,000 a year means the state is almost square." so that means there is only 1.3 people per dwelling? I don't think so, the national average is 2.4 per dwelling so that would mean that Tasmania has a large oversupply by about 1334 dwellings per year. You must take us for fools making rediculous statements like that. What shortage?

      ...
      written by Matt, August 14, 2011
      Master Builders Association Tasmania executive director Michael Kerschbaum needs a maths lesson.
      One house has been built for every 1.3 new people in Tasmania, but the average househould size is 2.6.
      That's not an "almost square" housing supply - it's an oversupply as we've built twice as many houses as necessary!
      ...
      written by jousting_sticks, August 14, 2011
      "Its median house price fell 1.6% in the past year to $305,000, according to the Real Estate Institute of Tasmania. It was $330,000 in the March quarter."

      Mathematically challenged or is that just a non sequitur? A fall from $330,000 to $305,000 is a fall of much more than 1.6%.

      ...
      written by Pragmatist, August 14, 2011
      Jousting_sticks, the 1.6% is from a year ago while the $330k was last quarter. This means that the market continued to rise prior to last quarter then wiped out all that and a little more in the last quarter alone. A fall of 9.4% since last quarter (30% annualised) is a significant drop so they prefer to roll it in with previous gains to downplay the numbers.

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