Tax summit is much ado about nothing

Andrew Wilkie backed the Gillard government on the proviso that it would support his poker machine legislation, which now looks like never seeing the light of day. Independents Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott wanted a tax summit, which was supposed to be convened by June 30, 2011 – (better late than never) it will now be held over October 4 and 5. The taxing topics for discussion are state taxes, business tax, personal tax, social and environmental taxes and governance of the tax system. The federal government ducked and weaved on whether the GST would be included in the discussions, as too the proposed mining tax.

Yet again the 135 recommendations contained in the Henry review will be regurgitated, although the government had previously rejected them all – or let’s say conveniently placed in the “too hard basket.” Henry noted in his review that “Australia has too many taxes and too many complicated ways of delivering multiple policy objectives through the tax transfer system.”  In a nutshell Henry suggested just four tax bases: personal income, business income, private consumption and economic rents from resources and land. For this to eventuate: payroll, stamp duty, insurance, superannuation contributions taxes and income taxes on all pensions, allowances and benefits would be abolished.

Windsor suggested that the GST should rise by 1% to allow 115 “inefficient” taxes to be abolished but let’s not forget that when that GST was introduced in 2000 the platform was these “inefficient” taxes would be abolished – that promise never saw the light of day. Mr Windsor and fellow crossbencher Tony Crook also called for the GST to be closely examined at next month’s forum given Treasury warnings that the tax has now become increasingly inefficient.

It is clearly evident today that consumers are taking advantage of the high Australian dollar and spending much more via online tax-free items. Back in 2000 the government could be excused for not embracing this conundrum, but a decade on consumers moved their retail consumption to online models where today, retail in Australia is struggling to survive given it simply can’t compete.

So why, does the GST still remain a notable absentee from the forum’s discussion papers? A tax forum for –um, nothing, it would appear.

It is inevitable that our GST rate will eventually be increased to probably 12.5% given New Zealand has lifted its rate from 10% to 12.5% and it is now 15%. Britain will move its GST to 20% from January 2012. Lifting the GST to 12.5% would raise an extra $12 billion, climbing to $15 billion in three years’ time.

Treasury is forecasting exclusions from the GST this year to be $18.3 billion – of which $5.9 billion is because there is no GST on most food – and it reports that this will surge to $22.3 billion by 2013. As a direct result of these exclusions there is less available to the states and territories for crucial infrastructure spending – which is blatantly obvious today.

Australian Treasury head Martin Parkinson has backed a move to wind back or abolish real estate stamp duties. Parkinson noted that stamp duty (NSW property buyers paid $3.9 billion last year) makes buying and selling houses more expensive.  The Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute (AHURI) believes that by abolishing stamp duties in favour of a broad-based land tax – as suggested in the Henry review – would reduce land prices by up to 10%.

According to the National Housing Supply Council, Australia currently has a cumulative net shortfall of 200,000 dwellings (and growing annually). Housing in Australia this has become the biggest cost of living issue for Australians to such an extent that it is now a crisis – otherwise known as housing affordability.

In May this year the Australian government released a new national urban policy, Our Cities, Our Future to industry support. The only problem is this urban policy just like the Henry Review will also be filed in that congested too hard filing cabinet. In the last 10 years house prices have risen by 147% while incomes have risen by only 57% and in the last five years rents have risen at twice the rate of inflation. In Sydney, it now takes 8.1 times the average income to afford the median house, up from 5.6 times in 2001.

Last week the Australians for Affordable Housing (AAH) reported that new home starts in NSW have plummeted 20.1%, which was worse than the 16.3% recorded earlier this year by flood-hit Queensland.

So I wouldn’t hold out for next week’s tax forum achieving anything so long as the GST is excluded from discussions.

Last week, an article in The Australian, “Another chance on tax policy”, noted: “The summit still looks like an exercise in tax reform avoidance rather than engagement with a policy area that is so central to prosperity.”

Yes – it is all for – um, nothing, just like the Henry Review was all for – um, nothing. But it will keep two independents happy and the government can’t afford that type of avoidance. 

Robert Simeon is a director of Richardson  Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. He has also been writing real-estate blog Virtual Realty News since 2000. The RWM real estate model has sold in excess of $1 billion in database sales globally.