Finance

Australia&rsquo;s biggest bank, CBA, has increased its 2- and 4- year fixed home loan rates by 0.05 per cent for owner-occupiers paying principal and interest. 
&nbsp; 
It is the third time CBA has hiked its 4-year fixed rate this year, but the first time the bank has hiked its 2-year rate for owner-occupiers.

&ldquo;CBA is factoring in a rise in the cost of funding over the next couple of years, particularly now the RBA&rsquo;s term funding facility has closed.&rdquo; 
&nbsp; 
A recent economic insights report from CBA shows around half of its new owner-occupier loans settled in June were fixed, with the two-year rate the most popular. 
&nbsp; 
&ldquo;Despite today&rsquo;s hikes, CBA still has one rate under 2 per cent &ndash; the bank is not going to let go of that easily,&rdquo; said RateCity.com.au research director, Sally Tindall. 
&nbsp; 
&ldquo;CBA&rsquo;s two-year rate was extremely competitive and attracting significant interest. By keeping it just under 2 per cent, the bank is trying to keep momentum going at a more sustainable price,&quot; she said. 
&nbsp; 
Analysis of the RateCity.com.au database shows over the last two months, there have been more hikes than cuts in every fixed rate category with the exception of 1-year rates. 
&nbsp; 
But ME Bank has cut rates across a few home loans from early August, while boosting its refinance cashback offer to $3,000.

The cuts were across its two-year fixed and variable home loan range.

The two-year fixed rate Member Package home loan was cut by 20 basis points to 1.89% p.a. (3.17% p.a. comparison rate*) - a &quot;record low&quot; for the lender.

This particular comparison rate applies to owner occupier borrowers with 80% LVR i.e. a 20% deposit, paying principal &amp; interest.&nbsp;

The same advertised rate applies to other LVRs in the product line, but different comparison rates apply.

A number of other home loans - both fixed and variable - with different LVRs were also cut by between 5 and 31 basis points.

While the majority of changes to fixed rates in the last two months have been hikes, RateCity advise the opposite is happening in the variable rate market.&nbsp; 
&nbsp; 
RateCity.com.au home loan database analysis shows 49 lenders have cut at least one variable rate in the past two months while 10 lenders have hiked variable rates in that time.

The vast majority of variable rate cuts are reserved for new customers, not existing ones, RateCity research director, Sally Tindall, said.

&ldquo;Variable rates are at record lows, however, most of these deals are reserved for new customers, not existing ones, unless you specifically ask,&rdquo; she said. 
&nbsp; 
&ldquo;Before you call, check what rate your bank is giving new customers for the same home loan, but also find out what other lenders have on offer.

&ldquo;If you are paying significantly more than a new customer, pick up the phone and ask your bank &lsquo;why?&rsquo;.

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&nbsp; 
&ldquo;If you have a good track record of paying down your debt, and the bank thinks you might switch to a more competitive lender, they&rsquo;re likely to play ball. 
&nbsp; 
&ldquo;A lot of people think a handful of basis points won&rsquo;t make much of a difference, but if the discount is permanent, then the savings can potentially run into the thousands in just a few years,&rdquo; she said.

ME has also increased its cashback offer to $3,000 for externally-refinanced home loans.

The new lending amount must be minimum of $250,000.

Eligible refinancers must apply by Friday 27 August inclusive, and settle by Friday 29 October.

ME Bank CEO Adam Crane said the cuts would assist borrowers &quot;looking to maximise their borrowing in a challenging property market.&quot;

In February, ME Bank merged with Bank of Queensland with the deal expected to be finalised this month.

But ME Bank cut rates across a few home loans, while boosting its refinance cashback offer to $3,000

jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Home loan mortgage rate rises continue

EXPERT INSIGHT

So you think it&rsquo;s the right time to dive in and buy a home.

I can&rsquo;t tell you you&rsquo;re wrong. I can tell you it would have been better to do it before prices began soaring, and that if they keep soaring it will get worse still.

When the year began, the typical Sydney price was <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news/corelogic-december-home-value-indices">$872,000</a>. Five months later at the start of June it is <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news/australias-housing-boom-rolls-national-home-values-lifting-another-22-may">$970,000</a>.

That&rsquo;s a jump of almost $100,000 in a matter of months &mdash; an awfully big price for procrastinating.

In Melbourne the typical price has climbed from $682,000 to $740,500. In Perth it has climbed from $471,000 to $521,500, and so on.

And banks are beginning to withdraw the cheapest of their still-very-cheap mortgage rates, at this stage mainly the fixed four-year rates which had been below <a href="https://www.domain.com.au/news/house-hunters-facing-rising-fixed-mortgage-rates-with-further-hikes-expected-1054965/">2%</a>.

So why on earth wouldn&rsquo;t you dive in, cut your living expenses to the bare minimum and try and buy a home while it&rsquo;s the least bit possible?

One (slight) reason to relax is mortgage rates. Despite the increases in fixed four-year rates, three-year rates have barely moved. That&rsquo;s because the Reserve Bank has promised to hold the three-year bond rate <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2021/mr-21-09.html">constant</a> at 0.1%.

Buying has become a bigger commitment

The three-year bond rate determines the cost to banks of their three-year fixed rate mortgages.

The Reserve Bank has said it does not expect to lift its 0.1% cash rate until &ldquo;2024 at the earliest&rdquo;. Movements in the cash rate determine movements in variable mortgage rates.

But there is another reason for proceeding with caution and taking stock.

For our parents, buying a home was an exceptionally good deal, not only because homes were cheaper &mdash; until the end of the 1990s homes typically cost between two and three times household after-tax income, they now cost closer to five &mdash; but also because over time the loan became easier to pay off.

That isn&rsquo;t because mortgage rates were coming down &mdash; at times they were going up &mdash; it&rsquo;s because during our parents&rsquo; times wages (and prices) were climbing.

It meant that even if someone of our parents&rsquo; generation just squeaked through one of the bank&rsquo;s tests about their ability to make payments on a mortgage, a few years and lots of inflation and several big wage rises down the track those mortgage payments shrank compared to everything else.

Once, wage rises took care of repayments

Many of our parents paid off their mortgages early.

One way to look at this is that the bank&rsquo;s ability-to-repay calculators were set too harshly. They failed to account for future hefty wage rises and inflation.

It&rsquo;s probably also true that they were set more generously than they might have been in an implicit acknowledgement of what the assistant governor in charge of the Reserve Bank&rsquo;s economic branch Luci Ellis calls &ldquo;<a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2006/2006-12/global-trends.html">mortgage tilt</a>&rdquo;.

The former governor, Glenn Stevens, used another term, &ldquo;<a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/1997/sp-ag-081097.html">front-end loading</a>&rdquo;.

Mortgages were &lsquo;front-end loaded&rsquo;

When inflation was high, and as a consequence interest rates were high, wages that climbed rapidly with high inflation made the servicing burden &ldquo;most acute in the very early phase of a loan, falling over time&rdquo;.

On a graph (and the former governor presented a graph) the line showing payments as a portion of income tilts down over time.

In a world of lower inflation and interest rates, the tilt becomes flatter.

By now (Stevens published the graph in 1997) the line must be near horizontal.

If wage growth remains near the <a href="https://twitter.com/1petermartin/status/1399520798734389250/photo/1">record lows</a> the treasury is forecasting it will become scarcely any easier to make payments on a home loan over time.

Yet the banks are still handing out loans using the sort of formulas they used to.

If you get a loan you&rsquo;ll be assessed as being able to (just) make the payments as always, but you&rsquo;ll be denied the near certainty of being able to more easily meet the payments as time goes on.

Now, we retire mortgaged

This is a different from the risk you&rsquo;ll also run of today&rsquo;s ultra-low mortgage rates climbing (which banks do take into account in deciding whether to give you a loan).

The proportion of homeowners reaching retirement age while still paying off their mortgage has doubled in 20 years. Which might be why some banks ask for details of your super before granting you a loan. It isn&rsquo;t an idle inquiry.

Might things get better? Maybe, if we can get wages moving again.

Evidence given to Tuesday&rsquo;s post-budget Senate estimate hearing provides cause for hope, and despair.

Super hikes will make things worse

The budget forecasts for wage growth over the next four financial years are incredibly low &mdash; 1.5%, 2.25%, 2.5% and 2.75%

On Tuesday Treasury Secretary Steven Kennedy revealed that each would have been higher &mdash; 0.4 points higher &mdash; had the government not persisted with the five scheduled annual increases in compulsory superannuation contributions of 0.5% of salary starting in July.

The treasury believes each increase will slice 0.4 percentage points from wage growth, on the basis that employers, who are legally required to pay the contributions, will have to find the money somewhere.

It&rsquo;s the same conclusion reached by the government&rsquo;s <a href="https://theconversation.com/that-extra-youre-about-to-get-in-super-most-of-it-will-come-from-you-but-dont-expect-the-ads-to-tell-you-that-154723">retirement incomes review</a>.

It&rsquo;s cause for hope because it means that when those five increases stop (in mid-2026, or sooner if the government stops them mid-track) wages might be able to grow more strongly.

It&rsquo;s cause for despair because if the treasury is right, we are denying ourselves wage rises we could use in return for super we will increasingly use to pay down our mortgages.<img alt="The Conversation" height="1" src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/161873/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important" width="1" z5zyoz6tp="" />

<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/peter-martin-682709">Peter Martin</a>, Visiting Fellow, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/crawford-school-of-public-policy-australian-national-university-3292">Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University</a>

This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/paying-off-a-home-loan-used-to-be-easier-than-it-looked-its-now-harder-heres-why-161873">original article</a>.

jordan_55689

Paying off a home loan used to be easier than it looked - it's now harder - here's why

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Expert Observer

At its meeting today, the Board decided to maintain the current policy settings, including the targets of 10 basis points for the cash rate and the yield on the 3-year Australian Government bond, as well as the parameters of the Term Funding Facility and the government bond purchase program.

The rollout of vaccines is supporting the recovery of the global economy, although the recovery is uneven. While there are still considerable uncertainties regarding the outlook, the central case has improved. Global trade has picked up and commodity prices are mostly higher than at the start of the year. Inflation remains low and below central bank targets.

Sovereign bond yields have increased over recent months due to the positive news on vaccines and the additional fiscal stimulus in the United States. Inflation expectations have also lifted from near record lows to be now closer to central banks' targets. The 3-year government bond yield in Australia is at the Board's target of 10 basis points and lending rates for most borrowers are at record lows. The Australian dollar remains in the upper end of the range of recent years.

The economic recovery in Australia is well under way and is stronger than had been expected. The unemployment rate fell to 5.8 per cent in February and the number of people with a job has returned to the pre-pandemic level. GDP increased by a strong 3.1 per cent in the December quarter, boosted by a further lift in household consumption as the health situation improved. The recovery is expected to continue, with above-trend growth this year and next. Household and business balance sheets are in good shape and should continue to support spending.

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Nevertheless, wage and price pressures are subdued and are expected to remain so for some years. The economy is operating with considerable spare capacity and unemployment is still too high. It will take some time to reduce this spare capacity and for the labour market to be tight enough to generate wage increases that are consistent with achieving the inflation target. In the short term, CPI inflation is expected to rise temporarily because of the reversal of some COVID-19-related price reductions. Looking through this, underlying inflation is expected to remain below 2 per cent over the next few years.

Housing markets have strengthened further, with prices rising in most markets. Housing credit growth to owner-occupiers has picked up, with strong demand from first-home buyers. In contrast, investor credit growth remains subdued. Given the environment of rising housing prices and low interest rates, the Bank will be monitoring trends in housing borrowing carefully and it is important that lending standards are maintained.

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The Board remains committed to the 3-year government bond yield target of 10 basis points. Later in the year it will consider whether to retain the April 2024 bond as the target bond or to shift to the next maturity. The initial $100 billion government bond purchase program is almost complete and the second $100 billion program will commence next week. Beyond this, the Bank is prepared to undertake further bond purchases if doing so would assist with progress towards the goals of full employment and inflation. Authorised deposit-taking institutions have drawn $95 billion under the Term Funding Facility and have access to a further $95 billion. Since the start of 2020, the RBA's balance sheet has increased by around $215 billion.

These various monetary measures are continuing to help the economy by keeping financing costs very low, contributing to a lower exchange rate than otherwise, and supporting the supply of credit and household and business balance sheets. Together, monetary and fiscal policy are contributing to the recovery in aggregate demand and the pick-up in employment.

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The Board is committed to maintaining highly supportive monetary conditions until its goals are achieved. The Board will not increase the cash rate until actual inflation is sustainably within the 2 to 3 per cent target range. For this to occur, wages growth will have to be materially higher than it is currently. This will require significant gains in employment and a return to a tight labour market. The Board does not expect these conditions to be met until 2024 at the earliest.
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Joel Robinson

Bank will be monitoring trends in housing borrowing carefully: RBA Governor Philip Lowe's April 2021 meeting statement

<html><body>The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority chairman Wayne Byres has told parliamentarians that the regulator’s job was not to “solve house prices” or “solve affordability.” 

But Byers did tell the House of Representatives Economics Committee that APRA was watching closely for riskier lending.

“The last statement from the Council of Financial Regulators said quite clearly we are watching for a deterioration in lending standings and that’s not evident at this point,” he said 

“That is not to say it won’t emerge but it’s not obvious at this stage.” 

Byres accepted that house prices would rise faster than incomes when he noted the regulator remained focused on protecting depositors and the stability of the financial system.

“It’s not our job to solve house prices and it’s not our job to solve house pricing affordability,” Byres said.

“We are watching for a deterioration in lending standings, and that’s not evident at this point. 

"That is not to say it won’t emerge, but it’s not obvious at this point,” Mr Byres said.

The comments come despite strong monthly price growth and the highest auction clearance rates in years.

The AFR recently reported APRA data revealed a 31 per cent increase in interest-only loans, a 27 per cent increase in mortgages with a loan-to-valuation ratio (LVR) of 95 per cent and a 26 per cent increase in mortgages where the borrower was granted a loan more than six times their annual income.

Byres noted buying activity was being driven by first home buyers, which was creating a different dynamic to the prior times of APRA intervention that curbed investor and interest-only loans in 2014 and 2017.

Byers did note the vast majority of home owners who stopped mortgage payments during the pandemic last year had resumed repayments.

Deferred loans accounted for 0.5 per cent of banks’ total loan books in February, the parliamentary committee was advised on Monday.

It was down from 10 per cent on last May.

APRA will be monitoring how lenders dealt with customers still struggling to pay their mortgages.
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APRA, the prudential regulator has also rejected any suggestion the regulator’s job was to “solve house prices.” 

jchancellor

APRA doesn't see role as solving housing affordability

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The lowest home loan rate in the market has dropped to 1.69 percent at the Greater Bank.

It announced the new market leading rate of 1.69 percent following a cut of 0.20 percent to its 1 year fixed rate for owner occupiers paying principal and interest. 

Canstar editor-at-large and money expert, Effie Zahos says chasing a low rate should be on every homeowners’ radar.

“Interest rates will remain at rock bottom for the next three years, though fixed rates are likely to rise before variable rates do as the longer term bond market starts to anticipate monetary tightening a few years ahead,” Zahos said..

“The move from Greater Bank proves competition is still rampant in the home lending space,” she said. 

UBank is at 1.75 percent followed by Homestar at 1.75 percent.

Ratecity noted Greater Bank borrowers will need to shop around or refix their rate after the first year as the loan reverts to a variable rate of 3.66 per cent. 

Greater Bank home loans are only available for borrowers in NSW, ACT and Queensland. 

RateCity.com.au analysis shows if an owner-occupier with a $400,000 home loan switched from the average existing owner-occupier rate of 3.05 per cent, to this new rate from Greater Bank, they could potentially save $5,039 in the first year, including refinancing costs. 

However, after five years borrowers could be $3,849 worse off, unless they switch or refix their loan.

<img alt="" height="492" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/ratecity_cheapest_home_loan.jpg" width="604">

Notes: based on an owner occupier paying principal and interest, switching loans 5 years in to a 30 year home loan with a balance of $400K. Assumes the customer does not refix / refinance after the 1 year fixed rate expires. Refinancing costs include discharge fees but not government fees.

RateCity.com.au data shows 24 lenders have cut 317 home loan rates since 1 January.
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Canstar editor-at-large and money expert, Effie Zahos says chasing a low rate should be on every homeowners’ radar.

Home loan rate hits new record low of 1.69%

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GUEST OBSERVER
With diverse reactions being stirred by the Victorian State Government announcement that come July 1st First Home Buyers in Victoria will be let off paying of having to pay stamp duty, the opinions on what the real impact might be differing greatly.
Fuelled by the housing shortage right around Australia and across Victoria, and an ever increasing demand from first time property buyers, the prices are set to stay strong and continue to edge forward. While the sentiment of waving the state charge comes from the right place and aims to support virgin buyers, some believe the ‘home free’ on the stamp duty may well drive prices up and even more out of reach for those starting out.
It is hard enough for first home buyers to get into the market, relieving the extra pressure of having to save up for stamp duty is certainly going to motivate more buyers.
Some experts believe this will drive prices up, rather than down, but really, it will encourage younger buyers to purchase sooner.
Additionally, the Victorian state government has announced to give first home buyers even greater incentive with a first home buyers grant of up to $20 k (provincially) and $10 k in metropolitan areas.
Price will never curb housing shortage, nor will affordability. As long as we have a shortage of land and steady demand, nothing will really change. But, with offerings that will save first time owners upward of $30 k, we will see more people taking the leap to property ownership sooner.
Property has been at the centre of the Great Australian Dream, mind you with median prices across Melbourne being what they are, for many young people it is either a pipe dream or a nightmare, she added.
Not surprising, the rentvestor trend is on the rise as younger people can not afford to buy where they want to live, she said.
While, the move by the Victorian State Government to abolish the stamp duty charge gets the thumbs up from first home buyers, whether this will drive prices up or not needs to be seen.
For many come the new financial year may mean actually getting into their first home due to these changes, however the risk lies in that people may borrow more than is sustainable or what they can afford to hold should interest rates start to climb.
I think it’s a good initiative and one that incentivises people to get into a property sooner, with time in the market being the key here, as long as one buys well.
Speculation that other states will have to follow suit or that we will see a back-lash of price increases because of this move by the Victorian State, will only be answered by time.
Marion Mays is the founder/director of Thalia Stanley Group and can be contacted <a href="https://www.thaliastanley.com.au" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Victorian first home buyers set to win – or are they? Marion Mays

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GUEST OBSERVER
Real-estate valuations in major cities are at historical peaks, banks are pulling back from commercial real estate lending and the tailwind from lower interest rates appears to be coming to an end. 
Against this background,  assesses the outlook for real estate, and opportunities in traditional and alternative exposures, such as real estate debt. 
Cap rates have come down; what’s next?
Qualitas is an investor that is agnostic to sector and which part of the capital structure we play in – ultimately what we are looking to do is find opportunities where there is the biggest mismatch between underlying real estate fundamentals and the capital markets pricing of parts of a capital stack for that sector.
The traditional commercial real estate sectors of office and retail have been a tough place for the past number of years in our view – underlying and fundamental tenant demand has been quite benign, outside of one off events such as the Sydney metro compulsory acquisitions, yet capital has been chasing those assets very hard right across the capital stack. Spreads and cap rates have come down a long way.
The easy money has been made in commercial assets by riding cap rates down: the Tailwinds are at an end. From this point, asset owners will need to deliver value through real asset management – focusing on your tenants and your physical product, because the easy wins are gone. That is often easier said than done and really requires focused on the ground management.
We anticipate there will be a period of further capital appreciation over the short term, this time driven by effective rental increases via some reduction in incentives, with cap rate compression petering away. The question for office owners will be how far incentives will fall and how sustainable is the increased effective rent in the face of the change in cap rate direction.
Residential will offer opportunities
Residential is where we see the biggest dislocation, despite consistent market paranoia.
It’s true that certain precincts and product types having challenging supply issues, but there remains a fundamentally strong underlying demand for housing that gives us medium term confidence in the market. This is supported by a number of macro factors outlined below.
Demand
There is unrelenting net migration, coupled with the strong political will in our major cities to increase housing density. There is also a massive change in tenure preference towards rental due to affordability and choice occurring in the market. 
These are combining to provide a robust inherent demand. The fears about supply issues in the Melbourne and Brisbane CBD investor apartment market and some of the issues out in Western Sydney are well founded – however they make up a fraction of the overall housing story and outside of those hot spots demand is unrelenting. 
The market is far from being in a structural surplus and if you measure supply by housing starts instead of planning approvals obtained, then this is particularly evident. Our research suggests that the reality is between Sydney and Melbourne we need circa 65,000 new dwellings per annum – that is around 180 dwellings each and every day and the market is nowhere near suppling that. 
The market is learning rapidly about what is a “good” apartment dwelling and the days of poorly designed and built apartments being fired up at record pace are as good as finished. The occupier and buyer markets are too savvy now for that and developers are increasingly focused on the minutiae of design, which hasn’t always been the case.
Supply
Our view is that these demand drivers are robust for the medium term but will be supported by the other side of the equation, being the supply situation – particularly the factors curtailing supply.
There is currently a severe shortage of debt capital for the development of residential – it is currently as bad as if not worse than the financial crisis. Notwithstanding media hype about “postcode blacklists”, the banking sector has taken a much more generic approach to development finance –the tap is very close to being off altogether.
Our commercial estate lending market is dominated by 4 major banks with around an 85% market share versus closer to 50% share in the US and Europe. Given the soft conditions in other sectors of the economy, the banks’ weighting to real estate is heavy and APRA has stepped up examination of commercial real estate books significantly. The property finance departments now have negative asset volume budgets and are actively seeking to shed developer clients. 
This significant pullback in credit availability is being compounded by a confusing and difficult town planning environment in both Sydney and Melbourne.
Notwithstanding the desire from government to increase density around existing amenity, there is an ongoing battle against local councils and the electorates. It is having a direct impact on the ability for new supply to be injected in to the right areas of the market and is exacerbating shortages in the areas housing is required – again, the political environment resulting from “too many city shoebox apartments” has led to a broad-brush approach to reigning in density due to issues in one small segment of the market, much in the same way the banks have done.
This means is that the majority of the cranes that you see in the sky in our major cities are what we call 2014 and 2015 vintage cranes – there are significantly less 2016 project commencements and we anticipate 2017 and even 2018 will be similar – meanwhile, the underlying demand and net migration pushes against the supply shortage.
Where to Find Value?
So if I turn to what Qualitas is looking for in the market currently, one thing we look at very closely is what we call the “Revenue &amp; Capital Curve”. This is a conceptual indicator for us about where we want to pivot our investing activity. As you will see there is a clear Equity Strike Zone and a clear Debt Strike Zone – we feel that we are currently clearly in the Debt Strike Zone.
On that basis, our thesis is to focus on playing the current position of the curve as well as laying the foundations for the next inflection point on the curve:
<ul>
<li>Filling the capital gap on “shovel ready” projects – playing the current cycle position</li>
<li>Repurposing assets to focus on expected 2020 supply shortage – positioning for the next turn in the cycle.</li>
</ul>
We are currently most focused on debt or debt-like instruments as the returns available at this point are equity like in our view. The debt pull back is leaving significant holes in capital structures and the returns on offer are strong on a risk adjusted basis and akin to equity, particularly given the late entry point of the debt.
This ability to deliver strong risk-adjusted returns to our investors is part of what’s driving Qualitas’ growth. Coupled with the addition of respected senior team members, we are confident this growth will continue, benefiting not just our investors, but the partners for whom we filling the lending gap. 
Mark Fischer is managing director, Principal Investments at Qualitas and can be contacted <a href="https://www.qualitas.com.au" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Why insto money is moving to residential: Mark Fischer

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GUEST OBSERVER
ME’s ninth biannual Household Financial Comfort Report shows the gap in financial comfort between younger and older generations has widened significantly since the first survey in 2011.
While the comfort of ‘builders’ (aged 75+) and ‘baby boomers’ (aged 50-74) has improved by 16% to 6.38 and 14% to 5.85, respectively since October 2011, the comfort of ‘Gen Y’ (aged 18-34) and ‘Gen X’ (aged 35-49) has remained broadly unchanged over the same period, up only 2% to 5.56 and 3% to 5.16, respectively.
Digging deeper, the Report indicates ownership of assets including property, superannuation, shares and managed funds, is largely fuelling the divergence.
The recent gains in the macroeconomic and financial environment including significant rises in property and equity values, has disproportionately lifted the financial comfort of older generations who tend to have higher levels of asset ownership or investments.
The findings add to recent policy debates around housing ownership and affordability, and the generosity of superannuation tax concessions for wealthier Australians..
They highlight the importance of housing and superannuation as important wealth generators with both contributing to higher levels of financial comfort. They suggest that wealthier Australians may be better able to manage any windback to super tax concessions, while remaining at a relatively high level of financial comfort.
The disparity in financial comfort between generations is largely due to older generations enjoying substantial improvements in their investments and income primarily through real estate and superannuation.
Gen X and Y have smaller investments and continue to struggle with property ownership, so have benefited to a much lesser extent.
Younger generations are more likely to rent, reflecting the increased difficulty when it comes to getting on the property ladder. He said the issue is exacerbated for the younger generations as prices and rents have grown faster than incomes, particularly in capital cities.
Overall ME’s Household Financial Comfort Index rose 3% to 5.59 out of 10 in the 6 months to December 2015, equivalent to about 65% of Australian households reporting mid-to-high financial comfort. This result reverses half of the fall from the previous 6 months and is the second highest financial comfort result recorded since ME started the survey in late 2011 (about 3% above the historical average of 5.45).
The overall rise in the Household Financial Comfort Index was largely driven by an 8% increase in comfort with ‘ability to cope with a financial emergency (loss of income for 3 months)’, arguably boosted by the strengthening of the labour market and in particular, strong job gains and a significant fall in unemployed persons over the past year or so.
Those stating ‘it would be easy to get a job within two months’ increased 2 points to 40% of the workforce during the six months to December 2015, while those reporting ‘it would be difficult’ decreased 3 points to 53%. J
ob security increased 2 points to 73% and insecurity fell 1 point to 25% (see Report pages 20-21). Modest increases in income also contributed to the improvements in ‘ability to cope with a financial emergency (loss of income for 3 months)’.
The proportion of households reporting annual income gains, increased by 4 points in the past six months to 38%, compared to the proportion who reported lower income, fell 2 points to 24%, with a further 38% reported unchanged household income.
Improved employment and income also contributed to increases in both comfort with cash savings (up 3% to 5.06) and across a range of savings indicators including an increase in the proportion of households saving each month, up 3 points to 50% in December 2015, versus spending all of their income and no more, down 3 points to 41% (see Report pages 25, 27).
Stand-out states:
The effects of a weakening mining industry are showing in WA, the only state where financial comfort deteriorated (down a further 2%) to a record low of 5.11 in December 2015 – the lowest household financial comfort by far across Australia. In contrast, South Australia/Northern Territory recorded the greatest gains in household financial comfort (up 14% to 5.57).
A regional/metro divide remained prevalent, with households living in metropolitan areas reporting higher levels of financial comfort (up 4% to 5.72) in December 2015, compared to households living in regional areas (up 2% to 5.29) in December 2015. Melbourne is the stand-out city, with the highest level of financial comfort (up 4% to 5.92), followed by Sydney (up 3% to 5.81).
On the other hand, Perth fell 8% to 5.12 – the lowest of all capital cities.
Self-employed:
After a very big rise of 18%, self-employed persons (typically, sole proprietors and small business owners) are the most comfortable segment of the workforce reporting financial comfort of 5.91 in December 2015. Recent policy announcements may be a contributing factor – in addition to labour market improvements and some signs of a pick up in business conditions (see Report page 15).
Household differences:
Couples with children – both older and younger in age – reported significant improvements – up 7% to 5.85 and up 6% to 5.55, respectively. In contrast, singles and couples with no children reported the biggest drop. Households were most comfortable with their ability to ‘manage their current living expenses’ (6.52 out of 10) and ‘level of debt’ (6.29 out of 10).
 
Jeff Oughton is ME’s consulting economist and can be contacted <a href="https://www.mebank.com.au/?gclid=CPu_uvLW5soCFQF-vQodaiAF9w" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Financial comfort gap widens between younger, older Australians: ME's Jeff Oughton

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GUEST OBSERVER
An overwhelming majority of Australians have made at least one financial decision that they regret, new data has revealed.
According to new research from Mortgage Choice, 68 percent of Australians have made a ‘regretful’ financial decision.
Interestingly, of those who admitted to regretting at least one of their financial decisions, almost one third said they made the decision off the back of information they gathered from friends, family members or strangers.
Meanwhile, less than 5 percent of Australians said they regretted a decision that they made in connection with advice they had received from a finance professional, such a mortgage broker or financial adviser.
In other words, those who sought professional advice were much less likely to regret a financial choice than those who didn’t. 
While the future is unpredictable, Australians who do their due diligence and speak to a professional are unlikely to go wrong financially, regardless of what asset class they are investing in.
Those who don’t do their due diligence can often be easily swayed by what they hear or even how a question is posed.
Behavioural economist Dr Lionel Page agreed and said studies show people will react to a particular choice in different ways depending on how it is presented.
We conducted a field study and asked Australians the same question in two different ways.
As anticipated, people reacted to the choice in different ways, depending on how it was presented to them.
When it comes to making good financial decisions, it is important to look at your options from all angles. That way, you can be truly content with your choice.
The field study shows why it is so important for Australians to seek out professional advice.
All financial decisions should be based on knowledge, research, and due diligence. Australians should take the time to investigate all of their options and speak to a professional before making any decisions.
If you take the time to speak to a professional who will help you research all of your options, you will be less likely to regret the financial decision down the track.
To watch the full field study video, <a href="https://www.vision6.com.au/ch/48415/5mtsn/2296824/a0aa4zkw7-1" target="_blank">click here</a>.
John Flavell is chief executive officer <a href="https://www.mortgagechoice.com.au/" target="_blank">Mortgage Choice</a>.
 
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Majority of Aussies have at least one financial regret: John Flavell

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GUEST OBSERVER
Consumer confidence: The ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating rose by 4.4 percent to 120.6 in the week to September 25.
It was the biggest weekly gain in 11 months and the confidence reading is well above the average of 112.6 since 2014.
Finances healthy: The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago has hit the highest levels in seven years.
What does it all mean?
Just like other financial commentators and analysts, the Reserve Bank takes an interest in the regular readings of consumer confidence. Roy Morgan and ANZ compile a weekly index and the Melbourne Institute and Westpac produce a monthly confidence measure.
But from the Reserve Bank’s point of view, the questions posed on family finances are the most revealing. Clearly if consumers believe that their finances are in good shape, and are expected to stay that way, then they are far more likely to spend.
So it is important that the latest survey shows the current state of family finances at the best levels in seven years. Or expressed another way, finances are the best since the global financial crisis. Expectations of another rate cut have been receding and the latest consumer confidence readings will reinforce that trend.
The consumer survey is clearly great news for any business dependent on consumer spending, especially the more discretionary or non-essential purchases.
What do figures show?
Consumer confidence 
<a href="/images/2016/09/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-27%20at%2011.22.37%20AM.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/09/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-27%20at%2011.22.37%20AM.jpg" alt="">
The ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating rose by 4.4 percent (5.1 points) to 120.6 in the week to September 25. Confidence is up 9 percent over the year and well above the average of 112.6 since 2014. All five components of the index rose in the latest week:
<ul>
<li>The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago was up from +10 to +16; 
</li>
<li>The estimate of family finances over the next year was up from +25 to +30; 
</li>
<li>Economic conditions over the next 12 months was up from +1 to +6; 
</li>
<li>Economic conditions over the next 5 years was up from +9 to +12; 
</li>
<li>The measure of whether it was a good time to buy a major household item was up from +33 points to +39 points.</li>
</ul>
What is the importance of the economic data?
The ANZ/Roy Morgan weekly survey of consumer confidence closely tracks the monthly Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index but the former measure is a timelier assessment of consumer attitudes and is now closely tracked by the Reserve Bank.
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
Consumer confidence is clearly healthy and is supporting a lift in spending - a result that was largely confirmed in the August Commonwealth Bank Business Sales Index, a gauge of economy-wide spending.
More confident consumers are more likely to spend – although there are no guarantees.
While we haven’t yet ruled out a November rate cut, much will depend on the inflation readings released in late October.
<a href="/images/2016/09/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-27%20at%2011.22.47%20AM.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/09/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-27%20at%2011.22.47%20AM.jpg" alt="">
Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.
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