Property

Heralded as among the most liveable cities in the world, Brisbane offers homebuyers beautiful weather, stunning beaches and a youthful charm.

Brisbane townhomes especially deliver affordability and low-maintenance living to first home buyers, investors or downsizers.

Townhouses provide an affordable alternative to a detached house, with more indoor and outdoor space than an apartment, but without the cost and upkeep of a larger home on a big block.

Recent forecasts from Westpac and CBA have identified property value increases in Brisbane of up to 20 per cent and 16.6 per cent over the next two to three years, respectively.

Urban takes a look at four townhomes in Brisbane, perfect for families, listed for under $585,000.

1. Vitality Townhouses, Albany Creek 
Address: 41-43 Greensill Road, Albany Creek QLD 4035 
Four-bedroom townhomes from $509,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=21877 project_image_fid=82705]

Delivered by Ausbuild, Vitality is the ideal townhomes for families, providing an urban sanctuary, friendly community and well-established local surrounds.

The townhouses offer tranquillity and flawless design, featuring open-plan layouts with an abundance of space, four bedrooms, three bathrooms and a separate laundry and powder room.

Providing the ideal setting for entertaining family and friends, architects Linear 56 Design have curated beautifully crafted interiors to connect with the outdoor space and enjoy plenty of natural light.

The family-friendly community offers residents convenience with the home just a short distance to Albany Creek Shopping Village and Westfield Chermside.

2. Arabella Heights, Oxley 
Address: Valance Street, Oxley QLD 4075 
Four-bedroom townhomes from $569,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=90087 project_image_fid=155303]

Boutique developers Huon Property Group&rsquo;s latest Queensland development, Arabella Heights, provides three and four-bedroom homes adjacent to protected bushland.

Life at Arabella offers the advantage of amenity that rivals that of city life, providing families extreme comfort and peace while maintaining a vibrant lifestyle.

The double-storey homes feature an elegant design, and key features including a double-lock up garage, landscaped courtyard and built-in study nook.

Set amongst vast green spaces, Arabella Heights brings the whole family together, with a resort-style swimming pool, barbeques, sporting fields and a residents&rsquo; library.

3. The Chaussy, Lutwyche 
Address: 2 Lucas Street, Lutwyche QLD 4030 
Two-bedroom townhomes from $585,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=29384 project_image_fid=155516]

The Chaussy is an impressive collection of boutique residences that boast stunning never-to-be-built-out views of Prentice Park.

Delivered by BPG Developments, the project features two and three-bedroom townhomes in Brisbane&rsquo;s up-and-coming inner-city suburb, Lutwyche.

Enjoying a convergence of inner-city convenience and suburban charm, The Chaussy provides the perfect backdrop for family adventures, with a swimming pool, entertaining deck and multi-use rooftop recreational area.

The home also features European oak flooring, floor-to-ceiling windows, European appliances and spacious balconies.

4. Wynnum Heights 
Address: 15 Alter Street, Wynnum West QLD 4178 
Three-bedroom townhomes from $569,900

[smartcode_project:default project_id=94833 project_image_fid=155375]

Delivered by Heran, Wynnum Heights is a sought-after community situated within a real estate hotspot on the Southern Moreton Bay tourist trail.

Each townhome offers large open plan living, stone polymer flooring, and landscaped courtyard.

The development is ideal for families, close to Brisbane with all the conveniences attached, and features a swimming pool in the complex, professional landscaping, and delivers residents the luxurious Bayside community lifestyle.

Urban takes a look at four townhomes in Brisbane, perfect for families, listed for under $585,000

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May 2021: Four affordable Brisbane family townhouses for under $585,000

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Homes with helipads are a rarity in Sydney. Estate agent Anthony Walls at Max Walls International has one up for sale at Elanora Heights with a $6.5 million asking price for the two hectare holding. 

It last sold in 1984 for $185,000 when bought by Laurie McIver and his widow, Paulette, who has a flying licence too. Surrounded by Garigal National Park, the property has views across the lagoon towards the Pacific Ocean from the two storey house with nine car garaging. But its special cache is the <a href="https://www.maxwalls.com/buying/search/detail.aspx?id=ID162&amp;lid=21220" target="_blank">private heli-pad plus hangar</a>.

Flying out of Hoxton Park, Laurie headed McIver Aviation with his flying school evening training Dick Smith a manouvre or two in fixed wing flying.

<a href="https://www.maxwalls.com/buying/search/detail.aspx?id=ID162&amp;lid=21220" target="_blank">The 1980s house</a> sits next to the Starship Enterprise-inspired 2008-built home that Peter Chedid, a lifelong fan of Star Trek, sold on Caladenia Close earlier this year for $8.4 million. 

The last northern beaches hinterland sale with helipad was when former radio broadcaster Doug Mulray sold in 2010 at Cromer to miner Tony Haggarty for $8,275,000.

<h2>NSW homes selling now:</h2>

[smartcode_project:default project_id=8590]

[smartcode_project:default project_id=29359]

[smartcode_project:default project_id=25842]
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Sydney northern beaches acreage home with heli-pad offering

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Reserve Bank of Australia assistant governor, Guy Debelle spent $2.75 million in Randwick at March auction.
Dr Debelle's new home last sold for $305,000 in emerging boomtime 1988, which the Australian Financial Review calculated as an 800% gain, or average 8.5% annual increase for each of the past 27 years. 
He settled on the five bedroom 1890s house last month through McGrath Estate Agents with his wife, Lend Lease's Australian head of property marketing and communications Jocelyn Harvey.
Title Tattle gathers it has four underground sandstone cellars.
The couple upsized from a Bronte semi sold at $2.02 million in May. It cost $1,725,000 in 2010, refecting 3% annual growth.
The previous Chesterfield Parade owners had secured 11% annual growth during their 27 year ownership to 2010.
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RBA assistant governor Guy Debelle spends $2.75 million in Randwick

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OpenAgent, which markets itself as helping vendors find the most qualified real estate agent to sell their property, sees readily expanded horizons.
The real estate agent comparison site <a href="https://www.openagent.com.au/" target="_blank">OpenAgent.com.au</a> has raised $6 million in funding from Hollard Investments with its founder, Richard Enthoven, to join the OpenAgent board. 
OpenAgent bills itself as the fastest growing player in the sector, having trebled in size year on year.
They now seek to attract more of the 500,000 people selling properties around Australia each year.
The site uses data from more than two million sales and has some 15,000 customer reviews of varying worth with OpenAgent taking 20% of an agent’s commission on the sale of properties that OpenAgent refers. 
After OpenAgent launched in 2013 it was referring 50 customers a month to real estate agents. It now sits at around 1000 a month.
It has assisted in the sale of $2.6 billion of Australian property. 
Co-founder and co-CEO of OpenAgent, Zoe Pointon, said the investment from Hollard gives OpenAgent the opportunity to drive greater awareness of the service and improve the user experience for Australians looking to sell their homes.    
“Having the people behind companies like Hollard Insurance and Greenstone Ltd. invest in us is incredibly humbling."
Richard has been a mentor to both me and my co-founder Marta Higuera for the past year and a half. 
Pointon concluded; “Australian home owners continue to lack information and guidance when making one of life’s most important financial transactions: selling your home. We believe failure to compare agents is a significant contributor to poor outcomes for both sellers and buyers in real estate. There are still too many Australians who don’t get the right agent to sell their property, and we want to fix that.”
The funding round from Hollard Investment takes OpenAgent’s total funding to $8 million.
It follows $2 million investment in 2013 and 2014 by a group of investors, including Pete Flint, the founder of US real estate giant Trulia.
Ms Pointon said she and Ms Higuera met Mr Enthoven four years ago at a start-up accelerator group event called Heads Over Heels.
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OpenAgent raises $6 million in funding

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This week whilst finalising some new floor plans for our clients, I started to wonder what we could add to give them a new twist on modern living.  I asked, "do we really need the formal dining area or separate lounge room anymore and what could we replace them with?"  
One of the newer additions to the home is the theatre room which is a space dedicated to watching movies… but could there be other needs we can meet with a specific room?
There's one that comes to mind immediately... the day spa room!  I would love a space that mimicked a day spa, a kind of extension I guess of a luxury bathroom but with a space off it to lounge around and read whilst your face mask weaved it's magic. With speakers filtering new age music filled the air, wafts of calming lavender oil burned and locks on the door to keep the kids out!
What used to be known as a library may now be called a Technology Room, I envisage it as an irregular shaped room with beanbags on the floor or hammocks swung from the roof, where you lounge around, surfing the net or playing the latest online games but still with a cosy reading nook to escape inside a good novel whether it be read from a book or tablet. 
One of the more cooler ideas that my boys came up with was a skate room to hang in. A bedroom with curved walls or a half pipe to go full Caballerial on (you may need to Google this if you don't have young sons).
Outdoor kitchens have been popular and you can extend this to include a backyard cinema with courtyards with fire pits and built in bench seating.  
Of course there is the original Man Cave that has typically been the old shed or garage but the modern man is looking for far more these days and his cave may include a full gym, full cellar or full on recording studio.
Don't forget the She Shed, an area where a female can make a little sanctuary for herself. perhaps a little outdoor shed converted into a luxurious, chandelier hung hideaway.  A space where the outdoors blended with the indoor space with a comfortable lounge, lots of cushions, throws, plants and candles. 
Perhaps an economical addition to the home is a twist on the traditional guest room. These days, you can make a killing by renting out a room in your house on Airbnb or Stayz or to overseas students. So make the guest room a little more appealing and self sufficient by adding items like a bar fridge they can keep fresh snacks and drinks, a small desk they can set up their laptop/tablet and work at including a little sign with your WiFi password so it's easy to find. 
All these ideas led to one extra inclusion in our floor plan and that was a home office. It has now become a feature of all Property Bloom developments as we all need a space to work or study from in the home and so we now have our kitchen supplier design and install a built in desk with storage and shelving and tenants are loving it. 
Jo Chivers is Chief Executive Officer of property development project managers <a href="https://www.propertybloom.com.au/about" target="_blank">Property Bloom</a>.
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Thinking outside the Square: Jo Chivers

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I was left eating humble pie this week following comments I made in an interview that appeared in the Australian Financial Review pertaining to the federal government’s announcement that another six homes had been identified as being acquired illegally and a further 462 sales under investigation. 
My response was “It’s nothing more than a PR stunt and a distraction. It’s been done for feel-good cuddles” – how wrong was I.
Later that day, I received an email from the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) boss heading up this investigation which (politely) outlined the detail of their inquiry which clearly identified the magnitude of this investigation which earnestly commenced in May this year. Owners of property bought illegally must voluntarily contact the ATO prior to 1 November 2015 to receive an amnesty of not being prosecuted.
Now once and for all, we will find out exactly what’s been happening as I have been saying for quite some time that this is rife within the real estate industry. It will be fascinating to see what recommendations are made and then implemented. I have been a strong proponent of tax file numbers being provided to the ATO on the exchange of contracts for every residential sale. It will also be interesting to see if the 100% selling ratio for all new developments is brought back to 50% as it was in 2008? Opening up our property markets to international exposure has certainly led to rapid price growth from Asian property investors.
Australia had a record number of 1.7 million international tourists visit last year which included a 21% surge from China.
This inquiry is timely given the number of recent global warnings of money laundering in real estate where Sydney and Melbourne have been suggested as hot spots. Residential property in Australia is the single largest and most valuable asset class worth an estimated $5.7 trillion. Sydney now ranks third in the world for luxury residential annual price growth according to Knight Frank’s Prime Global Cities Index. Sydney’s 12.5% growth now sits just behind Miami on 13.9% and Vancouver on 15% annual price growth. The report also identified that “a year ago eight cities recorded double – digit annual price growth. This quarter only four cities fell within this bracket.”
China’s shock devaluation significantly raises the risk that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will be forced to cut the cash rate further which is a worst case scenario for the RBA. More particularly when this week Deputy Governor Philip Lowe said “Given the position of household balance sheets, it is unlikely to be in our long – term interest for a consumption boom to be financed by a pick –up in household borrowing.”
“Ever-rising house prices, relative to our incomes, do increase risks in the economy and are unlikely to make us better off as a nation. Rising housing prices are best matched by rising incomes.”
Then of course we will have to wait to see how many divestment orders are issued by the ATO where hopefully the owners won’t be allowed to “flip” which was the case when Villa del Mare was issued with the first divestment order a few months back.
Another interesting aspect will be closely watching the Sydney and Melbourne clearance rates now that it is very clear the role that the ATO is playing with their pursuit of illegal purchases given that I am not the only one who thought this was all political shirt-fronting.
<h5>MOSMAN – 2088</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 63
• Number of houses on the market last week – 48
• Number of houses on the market this week – 47
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 55
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 41
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 40
<h5>CREMORNE – 2090</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 7
• Number of houses on the market last week – 3
• Number of houses on the market this week – 2
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 14
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 30
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 18
<h5>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 4
• Number of houses on the market last week – 2
•Number of houses on the market this week – 2
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 36
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 26
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 25
 
ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985.  He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000. 
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Federal government property taskforce not for feel-good cuddles: Robert Simeon

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Here’s the most remarkable statistic to emerge from the residential real estate industry this year: 32% of people think there’s a bubble.
The remarkable thing is that so few believe in the bubble BS. Media has been running bubble stories daily. Recently a new B word has taken up headline space: bloodbath, now a popular word to describe predictions from the lunatic fringe who subscribe to bubble theories.
But, according to an Investor Insight Survey, 55% of respondents said there was no property bubble and 13% were unsure.
Media, being the strange twisted animal that it is, chose to highlight the 32% who do apparently believe there’s a bubble, with the inference that this number is significantly high. My reaction was quite the opposite: that it’s amazingly low, given that media constantly tells us that one exists.
Among the many unworthy things that Nazi propaganda guy Joseph Goebbels gave to the world was the notion that “if you tell a lie big enough, and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to accept it as the truth”.
That principle, if that’s the right word, is alive and thriving in Australian media today. Most of what consumers believe to be true about real estate – the affordability crisis, the chronic housing shortage crisis, the bubble, the Great Australian Dream is dead, etc – are lies that have been repeated so often that many people accept them as truth.
This week the Australian Bureau of Statistics published its Residential Property Price Indexes, which are the latest figures to demonstrate the lie in the boom/bubble/bloodbath nonsense much beloved by tabloid media.
Sydney’s price index is up 13% and the next best is Melbourne’s 4.7% annual rise. Brisbane has managed 3.9%, Canberra 3%, Adelaide 2.5% and Hobart 1.9%. The price indexes for both Perth and Darwin have fallen slightly. The weighted average rise for the eight cities is 6.9%, but seven of the eight cities are well below that average.
I’ve scrutinised these figures, and similar data from other sources, from lots of different angles and directions. I’ve turned them upside down. I’ve looked at them in a mirror. I’ve examined them through a magnifying glass. And I cannot find a national property boom there. And without a boom, there is no bubble. And without a bubble, there is no prospect of a bloodbath.
Few media outlets reported the ABS figures, as they don’t fit with the pre-conceived story line of runaway markets, blistering price surges and world-shatter<a name="_GoBack" href=""></a>ing bubbles. Goebbels also gave us the idea, much utilised by journalists today, that you never let the facts get in the way of a good story.
The latest “bloodbath” forecast has come from a couple of attention-seeking conspiracy-theory twits who have put in a submission to yet another parliamentary inquiry in an attempt to drum up a bit of publicity for their consulting business.
They’ve predicted a bloodbath. Naturally media had a field day with it. If someone is silly enough to predict a market crash, journalists will be delighted to recycle it as news, regardless of how outlandish it is or how often the forecasters have been wrong in the past.
I’ve added this to the very large list of people who have predicted bloodbaths, bubbles bursting and markets collapsing in Australian real estate over the past 15 years.
I have a heightened awareness of such predictions because I recently conducted a research exercise for a client on the predictions newspapers and other media outlets have made about real estate prices since the start of the century.
Over 15 years there has been a constant barrage of articles making doomsday predictions about the housing market. Subsequent outcomes have proved them all wrong. Not one has been correct.
I recently published a Top 20 list of worst predictions about property prices. For example, in January 2012 visiting US spruiker Jordan Wirsz, seeking to drum up some free publicity, predicted a bloodbath in which house values would fall 60% in 2013. He forecast land values would fall 90%. 
Not surprisingly, this did not happen. There is no precedent, not in Australia nor in any other nation on planet Earth, for such a calamitous decline in values. The actual outcome? Capital city prices, on average, rose 9% in 2013 and 8% in 2014, with most of that growth occurring in Sydney.
But Wirsz’s ludicrous prediction, which should not have been published by any credible media organisation, was just one of numerous doomsday forecasts made over the past 15 years, and all of them have been proven false. They have come from US spruikers, Australian economists and the lunatic fringe brigade of anti-real estate campaigners.
But if Wirsz lobs in Australia again next month and predicts our property values will fall 100% - in other words, every property will be worth zero - newspapers around the nation will publish it, television will rush to do interviews and politicians will call for a parliamentary inquiry.
TERRY RYDER is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a> 
Terry was recently joined by Property Observer editor at large Jonathan Chancellor for a webinar on why research is the key to successful property investing in 2015. You can download slides and audio from the webinar <a href="component/content/article?id=42796" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">here</a>.
 
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Without a boom, there is no bubble: Terry Ryder

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The Australian property markets find themselves in an unprecedented quandary with record low cash rates that have driven investment property prices in Sydney and Melbourne to record levels. The problem as I see it is that it is highly unlikely that such dizzy heights can be maintained, so that said one can assume that prices should start plateauing. 
The problem with that scenario is that given the present market conditions this is highly unlikely as property investors are only interested in Sydney and Melbourne real estate.
The owner occupier property market is much slower with stock levels at all-time lows which can be attributed to the fact that businesses are no longer paying cash bonuses preferring to reward staff with shares. What this has done is take billions of dollars from the owner occupier property markets which explains in principle why the owner occupier markets are so slow.
Nobody can really explain why property investors are only interested in Melbourne and Sydney especially when Australia is experiencing an unprecedented population explosion. This becomes even more confusing when we hear that Australia’s east coast is the destination expected to feel the full brunt of this population explosion.
This year I have been in dialogue with Richardson &amp; Wrench Projects where I have attended some information seminars to learn more about this fascinating investor market. The problem with real estate agents is that our knowledge is always contained within a particular postcode, hence a reluctance to look outside our comfort zone which is the very same mindset as property investors.
So the first question I wanted to know was where are the next best areas to invest outside Sydney and Melbourne, that are more much affordable with strong capital growth, excellent rental returns and with strong depreciation allowances. My question was answered immediately with two areas – Newcastle and Brisbane – well, that makes sense as they are both on the east coast with strong population forecasts.
With that in mind it was off to Brisbane to have a look around and see just why Brisbane is considered the next area to chase property investor returns. The first thing you notice is their road infrastructure is superior to Sydney’s with nowhere near the traffic congestion. Just like what we are now seeing with NSW where government is now on a record infrastructure spend, although in NSW we keep adding a new lane to infrastructure that was only constructed ten years ago. The government has allocated a further 120 billion dollars for infrastructure over the next three decades.
A new international airport and the big star attraction is the new Las Vegas style $4.000 billion casino – in many instances the South Bank area (which is the area I liked the most) reminded me of what’s happening at Barangaroo on Sydney Harbor. Although at a fraction of the price.
One of the most interesting points that really resonated with me was that the Richardson &amp; Wrench Projects team told me that they actually reject 90 per cent of projects that fail their strict criteria – which was evidenced in their project investment reports which are about sixty pages of research data. Investors in Sydney and Melbourne usually get a one or two page report if they are lucky which always have the usual disclaimers.
So what happens to the ninety per cent of developments that were rejected was my next question? Well, they lure those unsuspecting property investors and stitch them up which explains why property investors stick to the areas that sit well within their comfort zones – even though they know they are paying top dollar.
Australians love investing in property which explains why so much is written about bubbles, crashes and fear factor frenzies. So if you are contemplating stepping out of your comfort zone and looking for an investment area to watch closely we would recommend Brisbane – it’s a very interesting exercise especially for those who insist that you only invest in Sydney and Melbourne. I am the first to admit that this week’s visit to Brisbane has completely changed my property investment train of thought.
It’s important to note that Australia is changing (so must our perceptions) with the latest Bureau of Statistics projections now have Melbourne as Australia’s biggest growing city. Melbourne is tracking to become the country’s biggest city in 2056 and has also overtaken Western Australia to now be Australia’s fastest growing state.
MOSMAN – 2088
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 74
• Number of houses on the market last week – 46
• Number of houses on the market this week – 43
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 57
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 43
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 39
CREMORNE – 2090
Number of houses on the market this time last year – 11
• Number of houses on the market last week – 6
• Number of houses on the market this week – 4
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year –11
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 8
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 12
NEUTRAL BAY – 2089
* Number of houses on the market this time last year – 3
• Number of houses on the market last week – 2
•Number of houses on the market this week – 2
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 42
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 30
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 39
ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985.  He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000.
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Searching for the next investor hot spots? Robert Simeon

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It’s sadly typical of real estate investment that the most popular places for buyers are also the worst places to buy.
Investors are piling en masse into a series of off the plan unit markets that will be the ruination of many people’s wealth dreams. The top five locations in terms of sales volumes are all places that property buyers must avoid.
It’s a commentary on two issues, which are among the core problems for property investors. One is that most investors fail to conduct genuine research before making decisions that involve hundreds of thousands of dollars. The second is that far too many of them think that reading media reports constitutes research.
When I spoke at two Performance Property Advisory seminars in Melbourne earlier this week, I told audiences that most of what they read or hear about real estate in mainstream media is misinformation. Most of what they read or hear is press release material (i.e. someone’s propaganda) regurgitated as credible information. There is no journalistic oversight on the material that is published, in most cases.
Among the most dangerous material is “research” which presents lists of, for example, the 10 best places to buy for high rental yields, or the 10 top buyers’ markets in the land, or the locations with the biggest growth in median prices in the past quarter. 
These lists are presented by incompetent journalists with the inference that these are the places investors should be buying. It amounts almost to criminal negligence. Those lists of the places with the highest yields or the ones described as the best buyers’ markets in the land comprise places where markets are in serious decline. Many of these markets are basket cases.
Earlier this week we saw a list of the most popular locations for buyers in Australia. These are the suburbs with the highest numbers of sales. The treatment given to this press release material from a publicity-hungry research business inferred that these were all great places to buy. If everyone’s piling into these places, then so should you. The inference is that the herd mentality is a viable method of making investment decisions.
Eight of the top 10 locations on the list were all locations that investors must avoid, if they are to escape a financial disaster. Those eight locations were apartments markets with heavy marketing of off-the-plan high-rise units in locations that already have, or will soon have, serious oversupplies.
The No.1 location in the list was the Melbourne CBD. Most of the 1,500 buyers who have purchased apartments there in the past 12 months will live to regret their decisions. Also on the Top 10 list were neighbouring unit market suburbs, Southbank and South Yarra. This is oversupply central for Australian real estate – a place where unit towers are being built not for local consumption but to be flogged at inflated prices to offshore investors. It won’t end well. 
Four of the top 10 places were occupied by unit markets on the Gold Coast, with Surfers Paradise No.2 on the national list. You have to wonder how many people have to lose money in this fools’ paradise before investors get the message to steer clear.
The Gold Coast has just spent five years absorbing the previous surplus of high-rise units, with property values falling in virtually every suburb in Gold Coast City. The median price for Surfers Paradise is still lower today than it was five years ago, but in the past 12 months another 1,255 buyers dived headlong into this investors’ graveyard, even as developers are working hard on creating the next massive over-supply.
The Brisbane CBD, which is working hard to outdo its Melbourne’s counterpart as oversupply central, is No.3 on the list. 
The latest research shows that only 10% of sales in the Brisbane inner-city unit market are to owner-occupiers. Investors are buying 90% of the stock and the great majority of them are distant investors – people from interstate and overseas. Many will wish they had left their money in the bank.
Vacancies in Brisbane’s inner-city suburbs range from 4% or 6.5% - and that’s before all the new supply now under construction hits the rental market. BIS Shrapnel research shows that a record number of new apartments will be completed this year, but more will be finished next year and even more the year after. These numbers are a red flag for sensible buyers.
Brisbane, like Melbourne and the Gold Coast, is building far too many apartments because they’re not being created for local consumption – they’re being conceived for sale to unsuspecting foreign buyers.
The developers will be happy because they will sell all their apartments and make lots of money, but the broader market and the people who own properties there will suffer, as high vacancies cause rents to fall, with values to follow.
If you’re an investor driven by the herd mentality or the FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) syndrome, then you will dive into these markets. And when you lose money, you will thoroughly deserve it.
Be afraid, be very afraid.
TERRY RYDER is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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Better in the bank than on Brisbane inner-city apartments: Terry Ryder

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Two property groups have teamed up to debunk media myths – but have actually added to them.
In seeking to dispel misconceptions about negative gearing and capital gains tax, the Property Council of Australia and the Real Estate Institute of Australia have added to the great seething mass of misinformation about real estate.
They have also missed a clear opportunity by failing to address two of the biggest arguments in favour of negative gearing and other investment incentives. 
That’s a shame. The media hysteria around negative gearing and the CGT “discount” needs a strong and coherent response from the real estate industry.
The PCA and the REIA have sought to provide that by asking a consultancy group to put together an evidence-based examination of the issues. To a certain degree it’s been a worthy exercise because the report presents facts and reasoned analysis, in contrast to media treatment of the issues.
It provides cogent responses to some of the lies about negative gearing, using official figures to show that this is not a tax benefit to the rich, nor is it a massive burden to the Federal Budget with no benefits to society. It shows that investors do indeed contribute to the creation of new housing supply and therefore assist in making homes more affordable. 
But it adds to the problem by reinforcing the notion of a runaway national property boom with soaring prices. It refers frequently to the “current booming residential property market”, belief in which has caused the lunatic fringe to target the industry with a sustained series of irrational attacks.
It also reinforces the greatest myth in Australian real estate – the claim that a national housing shortage exists. It’s poor form by these groups to self-righteously claim to be debunking other people’s myths while re-stating their own equally-fallacious furphies.
The PCA and REIA have also failed themselves and their industry by missing the opportunity to make two of the strongest arguments in favour of investment incentives like negative gearing.
The report examines how much negative gearing costs Budgets but doesn’t consider how much other revenue would be lost if negative gearing was disallowed. If this incentive to investment was removed and Australians stopped buying investment properties (and other forms of investment which have negative gearing provisions), other revenue streams would reduce, including stamp duty (State Governments would be screaming from the high heavens), land tax and capital gains tax. 
Given that the total tax take from the property industry is over $70 billion per year, and the amount claimed in negative gearing benefits is a tiny fraction of that, what would be the overall long-term impact to all government budgets – state as well as federal – if negative gearing ended?
To my knowledge no one has addressed this because everyone is looking at the issue from their own narrow viewpoints and the big picture has been lost.
But there is a bigger issue not discussed in this “debate” – and I couldn’t find any reference to it in the REIA/PCA report. My contention is that the Federal Budget would be a massive loser long-term if negative gearing was disallowed.
Here’s why. The biggest problem for the Budget is the mounting cost of welfare, notably pensions paid to retired people. The problem will get considerably worse, because of our ageing population. Successive Governments have told Australians they have to invest to provide for their own retirement years, because the nation cannot afford to fund them with pensions.
The nation needs to provide incentives to invest. Negative gearing it one of them – and it applies to other forms of investment including shares, businesses and artworks, as well as to real estate.
If we remove negative gearing, it will have to apply across all investment vehicles, not just to real estate. It’s a reasonable expectation that if the incentives are removed, many people will not invest. They will stagger into retirement with a small amount of superannuation and a need to claim the pension. 
A small short-term saving to the Federal Budget will result in a major long-term loss.
The anti-gearing attack is based on the claims that it inflates prices and damages government budgets. There is no evidence that negative gearing results in rising prices, because it’s impossible to measure. 
What we can say with certainty that we currently have negative gearing in place and prices are not rising strongly in any of our major cities except Sydney. If negative gearing inflates prices, why is there no price growth in Perth, Darwin or Canberra, and only muted growth in Brisbane and Adelaide?
Another thing we know, from the experience of the last time negative gearing was disallowed (in the 1980s), is that it results in higher residential rents.
The true impact on government budgets will not be known until someone does a proper study which includes the impact on other forms of real estate revenue if people stop buying investment properties (and other types of investments, including shares) and those who currently own them sell them to home buyers.
My belief is that there would be a net loss to state and federal budgets in the short-term and a massive cost in the longer-term because there would be considerably fewer self-funded retirees. 
TERRY RYDER is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a> 
Terry was recently joined by Property Observer editor at large Jonathan Chancellor for a webinar on why research is the key to successful property investing in 2015. You can download slides and audio from the webinar <a href="component/content/article?id=42796" target="_blank">here</a>.
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